Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 23 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓62% · @1.47

Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw ✓82% · @1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.19

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom preview and prediction

The match

The Ekstraklasa sees Gornik Zabrze take on Radomiak Radom on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla. Gornik Zabrze are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Radomiak Radom sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Gornik Zabrze's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Arka Gdynia 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Radomiak Radom's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Cracovia Krakow 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Gornik Zabrze arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Gornik Zabrze and 0.9 for Radomiak Radom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Gornik Zabrze 62%, draw 20%, Radomiak Radom 18%.
Safer route: Gornik Zabrze or draw (82%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Radomiak Radom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gornik Zabrze62%fair 1.61 · @1.47

Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.65

Radomiak Radom18%fair 5.58 · @5.80

2.89Expected goals

1.96Gornik Zabrze xG

0.93Radomiak Radom xG

56%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%

2–011%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

3–16%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 2.0 – 0.9 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gornik Zabrze to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.47
Double chance	Gornik Zabrze or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.13
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.74	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.55	1.53
Half-time result	Gornik Zabrze ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze ✓	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	9.19	–

Form

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

DWWDWD

13 May	@ Arka Gdynia	0–0	D
24 Apr	@ Jagiellonia	2–1	W
8 Apr	@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Widzew Łódź	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Raków Częstochowa	3–1	W
8 Mar	@ Motor Lublin	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Radomiak Radom – last 6

DWWDLD

11 May	@ Cracovia Krakow	0–0	D
4 May	vs Lechia Gdansk	3–1	W
26 Apr	@ Wisla Plock	1–0	W
6 Apr	vs Motor Lublin	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Piast Gliwice	1–3	L
13 Mar	vs Legia Warszawa	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Radomiak Radom 18%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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