Spalding United vs Alvechurch prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Spalding United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpalding United to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Spalding United vs Alvechurch preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Spalding United take on Alvechurch on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Spalding United's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Marine 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Alvechurch's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Halesowen Town 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Spalding United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Spalding United and 0.9 for Alvechurch. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spalding United 60%, draw 19%, Alvechurch 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spalding United to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spalding United 1–0 Alvechurch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spalding United60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.50
Alvechurch21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.79Spalding United xG
0.93Alvechurch xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Spalding United 1.8 – 0.9 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✗
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Spalding United ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Spalding United – last 6
LWDLWW
10 Oct
@ Marine
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Bury Town
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Bury Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Chorley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Hanley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bedford Town
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alvechurch – last 6
DLWDLD
13 Oct
@ Halesowen Town
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Bury Town
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Cambridge City
2–1
W
29 Sep
vs Stourbridge
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Bourne Town
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Anstey Nomads
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Alvechurch.
What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Alvechurch?
Our pick is Spalding United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Spalding United vs Alvechurch?
On our numbers Spalding United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alvechurch 21%.
How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Alvechurch?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Alvechurch?
Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–0 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spalding United vs Alvechurch?
Spalding United vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.