Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.20
Bury vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town travel to Gigg Lane in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (12:30 WAT) to face Bury.
Form guide
Bury's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Alfreton Town 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Harrogate Town's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Woking 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.7 for Bury and 2.7 for Harrogate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bury 22%, draw 21%, Harrogate Town 57%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bury 1–2 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bury22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.70
Harrogate Town57%fair 1.75 · @1.83
4.41Expected goals
1.71Bury xG
2.70Harrogate Town xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–16%
2–15%
From our goals model: Bury 1.7 – 2.7 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✗
57%
1.75
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.20
–
Form
Bury – last 6
WLWDWW
10 Oct
@ Alfreton Town
3–2
W
6 Oct
@ Stockton Town
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Bromsgrove Sporting
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Gainsborough Trinity
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Workington
5–1
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Emley
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WWWWLL
10 Oct
@ Woking
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
3–0
W
29 Sep
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Eastleigh
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bury and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Bury vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bury vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Bury have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Harrogate Town 57%.
How many goals will there be in Bury vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bury vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Bury 1–2 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Bury vs Harrogate Town?
Bury vs Harrogate Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Gigg Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds2
Morecambe1
Altrincham0
United of Manchester0
Barrow0
Gloucester City0
Boreham Wood3
Woking2
Boston United1
Scunthorpe3
Carlisle2
Tamworth1
Chesham United0
Forest Green0
Chorley1
Worcester City1