Chesham United vs Forest Green prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultForest Green to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceForest Green or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 17.24
Chesham United vs Forest Green preview and prediction
The match
Chesham United host Forest Green in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Chelmsford City 0–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Forest Green's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Hartlepool 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Chesham United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.7 goals: 2.2 for Chesham United and 3.5 for Forest Green. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 17%, draw 24%, Forest Green 59%.
Safer route: Forest Green or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chesham United 2–3 Forest Green. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United17%fair 5.94 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Forest Green59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
5.66Expected goals
2.16Chesham United xG
3.51Forest Green xG
63%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–36%
1–35%
2–45%
2–25%
1–45%
1–25%
From our goals model: Chesham United 2.2 – 3.5 Forest Green expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forest Green to win✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Forest Green or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.44 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Forest Green ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forest Green / FT Forest Green✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.24
–
Form
Chesham United – last 6
LWLWWL
10 Oct
vs Chelmsford City
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Real Bedford
4–3
W
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Forest Green – last 6
LDDLDW
10 Oct
vs Hartlepool
2–4
L
29 Sep
vs Wealdstone
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Boston United
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Carlisle
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Gateshead
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Forest Green.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chesham United vs Forest Green?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forest Green 59%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Forest Green?
We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–3 Forest Green, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Chesham United vs Forest Green (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.