Value bet: Boston United to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoston United to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Boston United vs Scunthorpe preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Boston United take on Scunthorpe on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Boston United's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Southampton U21 5–6 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Scunthorpe's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Derby County U21 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Boston United and 1.3 for Scunthorpe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boston United 48%, draw 20%, Scunthorpe 31%.
Value angle: Boston United to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Boston United 2–1 Scunthorpe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boston United48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Scunthorpe31%fair 3.20 · @2.70
2.89Expected goals
1.64Boston United xG
1.25Scunthorpe xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Boston United 1.6 – 1.3 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boston United to win✗
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boston United / FT Boston United✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Form
Boston United – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Oct
vs Southampton U21
5–6
L
10 Oct
vs Southend
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Yeovil Town
0–6
L
29 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Forest Green
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Scunthorpe – last 6
DLLWLL
13 Oct
vs Derby County U21
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
0–2
L
29 Sep
@ Barrow
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hartlepool
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Hornchurch
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston United and Scunthorpe.
What is the prediction for Boston United vs Scunthorpe?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Boston United vs Scunthorpe?
On our numbers Boston United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Scunthorpe 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boston United vs Scunthorpe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston United vs Scunthorpe?
Our predicted score is Boston United 2–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Boston United vs Scunthorpe?
Boston United vs Scunthorpe (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.