Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Carlisle vs Tamworth preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Carlisle take on Tamworth on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Carlisle's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tamworth's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Barrow 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tamworth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Carlisle and 1.1 for Tamworth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.00
Tamworth20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
3.22Expected goals
2.11Carlisle xG
1.11Tamworth xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.1 – 1.1 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.13
–
Form
Carlisle – last 6
DWWLLD
10 Oct
vs Kidderminster Harriers
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
3–1
W
29 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Woking
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ Eastleigh
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
LWWWLW
10 Oct
vs Barrow
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Leeds United U21
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
30 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Aldershot Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Tamworth.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Carlisle vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tamworth 20%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Tamworth?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Tamworth?
Carlisle vs Tamworth (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bury1
Harrogate Town1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds2
Morecambe1
Altrincham0
United of Manchester0
Barrow0
Gloucester City0
Boreham Wood3
Woking2
Boston United1
Scunthorpe3
Chesham United0
Forest Green0
Chorley1
Worcester City1