FA Cup · England
Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction & analysis
Barrow to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barrow 2.1 – 0.8 Gloucester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barrow are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 14% for Gloucester City.
Barrow have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Gloucester City have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Barrow, 0.8 for Gloucester City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Barrow to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barrow to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Barrow or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Barrow ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barrow / FT Barrow ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.26 | – |
Form
Barrow – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Tamworth | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Wealdstone | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Southend | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Aldershot Town | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Solihull Moors | 0–1 | L |
Gloucester City – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Hanworth Villa | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Mulbarton Wanderers | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Plymouth Parkway | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Stafford Rangers | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Malvern Town | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Totton | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Gloucester City.
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What is the prediction for Barrow vs Gloucester City?
Our pick is Barrow to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Barrow vs Gloucester City?
On our numbers Barrow have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gloucester City 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Gloucester City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Barrow vs Gloucester City?
Barrow vs Gloucester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.