FA Cup · England
Altrincham vs United of Manchester prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Altrincham 2.8 – 1.2 United of Manchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Altrincham are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 12% for United of Manchester.
Altrincham have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. United of Manchester have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Altrincham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.8 for Altrincham, 1.2 for United of Manchester). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Altrincham to win ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Altrincham or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Altrincham ahead at half-time ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Altrincham / FT Altrincham ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.59 | – |
Form
Altrincham – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Aldershot Town | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Boreham Wood | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Gateshead | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Hornchurch | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Fylde | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Hartlepool | 2–1 | W |
United of Manchester – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs AFC Emley | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Stockton Town | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Alfreton Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Worksop Town | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Hyde United | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ossett United | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and United of Manchester.
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What is the prediction for Altrincham vs United of Manchester?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Altrincham vs United of Manchester?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and United of Manchester 12%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs United of Manchester?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Altrincham vs United of Manchester?
Altrincham vs United of Manchester (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.