Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 55% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +93%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.50
Double chanceWealdstone or draw ✓78% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 9.25
Wealdstone vs Worthing preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Wealdstone take on Worthing on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Wealdstone's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Yeovil Town 0–6 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Worthing's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Ipswich Town U21 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Worthing arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Worthing 1–0 Wealdstone.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Wealdstone and 1.6 for Worthing. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 55% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wealdstone or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wealdstone 1–1 Worthing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wealdstone22%fair 4.47 · @2.45
Draw55%fair 1.81 · @3.50
Worthing22%fair 4.47 · @2.45
3.10Expected goals
1.55Wealdstone xG
1.55Worthing xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Wealdstone 1.6 – 1.6 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wealdstone vs Worthing?
Our pick is Wealdstone or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Worthing?
On our numbers Wealdstone have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Worthing 22%.
How many goals will there be in Wealdstone vs Worthing?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wealdstone vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is Wealdstone 1–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Wealdstone vs Worthing?
Wealdstone vs Worthing (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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