Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceAFC Hornchurch or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch preview and prediction
The match
AFC Hornchurch travel to face Uxbridge in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Uxbridge's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Evesham United 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
AFC Hornchurch's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Eastleigh 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Uxbridge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Uxbridge and 2.2 for AFC Hornchurch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uxbridge 16%, draw 19%, AFC Hornchurch 66%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Hornchurch to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Uxbridge 0–2 AFC Hornchurch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uxbridge16%fair 6.39 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.20
AFC Hornchurch66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
3.20Expected goals
0.98Uxbridge xG
2.22AFC Hornchurch xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Uxbridge 1.0 – 2.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Double chance
AFC Hornchurch or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
AFC Hornchurch ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.95
–
Form
Uxbridge – last 6
WWWWWD
10 Oct
vs Evesham United
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Hungerford Town
3–1
W
29 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Lewes
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Farnborough
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
WDLWLW
10 Oct
vs Eastleigh
2–0
W
6 Oct
vs Fulham U21
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Harrogate Town
0–3
L
29 Sep
vs Aldershot Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Altrincham
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is AFC Hornchurch to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Uxbridge have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Hornchurch 66%.
How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Uxbridge 0–2 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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