Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorquay to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Torquay vs Oxford City preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Torquay take on Oxford City on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Torquay's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Slough Town 5–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Oxford City's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Hebburn Town 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Torquay and 1.7 for Oxford City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torquay 42%, draw 21%, Oxford City 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torquay 2–1 Oxford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torquay42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Oxford City37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
3.56Expected goals
1.84Torquay xG
1.72Oxford City xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Torquay 1.8 – 1.7 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torquay to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torquay / FT Torquay✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Form
Torquay – last 6
WWLWDW
10 Oct
vs Slough Town
5–1
W
3 Oct
@ Tonbridge Angels
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Billericay Town
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
6–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dorking Wanderers
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Maidenhead
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oxford City – last 6
WWDWWL
10 Oct
@ Hebburn Town
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs Enfield Town
6–1
W
26 Sep
vs Morecambe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Dorchester Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Radcliffe
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torquay and Oxford City.
What is the prediction for Torquay vs Oxford City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Torquay vs Oxford City?
On our numbers Torquay have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oxford City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Oxford City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Oxford City?
Our predicted score is Torquay 2–1 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Torquay vs Oxford City?
Torquay vs Oxford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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