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Today's tips
FA Cup · England

Leiston

DWLLL
0–3
FT

Guiseley AFC

WWWLW

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Guiseley AFC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC preview and prediction

The match

Guiseley AFC travel to face Leiston in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).

Form guide

Leiston's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Racing Club Warwick 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Guiseley AFC's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Avro 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Guiseley AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Leiston and 2.0 for Guiseley AFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Guiseley AFC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leiston 1–2 Guiseley AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Leiston22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.64 · @3.60
Guiseley AFC62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
3.12Expected goals
1.08Leiston xG
2.04Guiseley AFC xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Leiston 1.1 – 2.0 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuiseley AFC to win ✓62%1.601.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultGuiseley AFC ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Form

Leiston – last 6

DWLLLW
10 Oct@ Racing Club Warwick0–0D
3 Octvs Coventry United3–1W
29 Sep@ Real Bedford2–3L
26 Sepvs Dartford0–3L
22 Sepvs Peterborough Sports0–2L
19 Sep@ Hitchin Town2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guiseley AFC – last 6

WWWLWW
10 Oct@ Avro1–0W
6 Oct@ Ilkeston Town2–0W
3 Octvs Bradford (Park Avenue)1–0W
29 Sep@ Alfreton Town0–1L
26 Sepvs Bamber Bridge4–2W
19 Sep@ Hebburn Town4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Guiseley AFC.

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Our pick is Guiseley AFC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

On our numbers Leiston have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Guiseley AFC 62%.

How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Our predicted score is Leiston 1–2 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.