Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartlepool to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceHartlepool or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Hartlepool vs Marine preview and prediction
The match
Marine travel to face Hartlepool in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Newcastle United U21 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Marine's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Spalding United 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Marine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Hartlepool and 1.1 for Marine. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Hartlepool 2–1 Marine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.10
Marine16%fair 6.44 · @5.00
3.24Expected goals
2.17Hartlepool xG
1.06Marine xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 2.2 – 1.1 Marine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Hartlepool or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Hartlepool ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
LWLLLL
13 Oct
vs Newcastle United U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Forest Green
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Tamworth
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Worthing
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Marine – last 6
WWWWWL
10 Oct
vs Spalding United
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Warrington Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Merthyr Town
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Radcliffe
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Darlington 1883
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ South Shields
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Marine.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Marine?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marine 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Marine?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Marine?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 2–1 Marine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Marine?
Hartlepool vs Marine (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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