Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Harborough Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarborough Town to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town preview and prediction
The match
Spennymoor Town travel to face Harborough Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Southport 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spennymoor Town's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Brackley Town 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Harborough Town and 1.1 for Spennymoor Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 62%, draw 22%, Spennymoor Town 16%.
Safer route: Harborough Town or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Harborough Town to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Harborough Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Spennymoor Town16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
3.27Expected goals
2.20Harborough Town xG
1.06Spennymoor Town xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 2.2 – 1.1 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Double chance
Harborough Town or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Harborough Town ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
WWLWDL
10 Oct
vs Southport
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs St Albans City
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
8 Sep
vs Hereford
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spennymoor Town – last 6
LWDWDL
10 Oct
@ Brackley Town
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Chester
4–1
W
26 Sep
@ Southport
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ AFC Emley
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Spalding United
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Spennymoor Town.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Our pick is Harborough Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spennymoor Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.