Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortimonense to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chancePortimonense or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · @1.85
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗33% · fair 3.04
Florgrade vs Portimonense preview and prediction
The match
Florgrade host Portimonense in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Florgrade's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Machico 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portimonense's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Amarante 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Florgrade arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 0.7 goals: 0.0 for Florgrade and 0.6 for Portimonense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 97% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Florgrade 0–0 Portimonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Florgrade13%fair 7.74 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
Portimonense67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
0.67Expected goals
0.03Florgrade xG
0.64Portimonense xG
35%Both score
3%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–051%
0–133%
0–211%
0–32%
1–01%
1–11%
From our goals model: Florgrade 0.0 – 0.6 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portimonense to win✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Portimonense or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
33%
3.04
–
Form
Florgrade – last 6
LWWLDW
10 Oct
@ Machico
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Camacha
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sanjoanense
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Camacha
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs São João Ver
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Guarda
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 6
WWLLLD
10 Oct
@ Amarante
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Castro Daire
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tondela
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ União de Leiria
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Leixoes
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Florgrade vs Portimonense?
On our numbers Florgrade have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Portimonense 67%.
How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Portimonense?
We expect about 0.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 3% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is Florgrade 0–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.7 goals in total.
When is Florgrade vs Portimonense?
Florgrade vs Portimonense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1