União de Leiria vs Bragança preview and prediction
The match
União de Leiria host Bragança in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
União de Leiria's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Academica 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bragança's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Montalegre 0–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 3.0 for União de Leiria and 1.3 for Bragança. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 67%, draw 22%, Bragança 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.45, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União de Leiria 2–1 Bragança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria67%fair 1.49 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Bragança11%fair 9.35 · @13.00
4.33Expected goals
2.98União de Leiria xG
1.35Bragança xG
57%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
4–16%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 3.0 – 1.3 Bragança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
67%
1.49
1.20
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.67
–
Form
União de Leiria – last 6
LWDWWW
11 Oct
vs Academica
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ O Elvas
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Amarante
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Tondela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Leixoes
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bragança – last 6
LWWWWD
11 Oct
vs Montalegre
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Celoricense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs Ponte da Barca
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Rebordelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Braga B
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Bragança.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Bragança?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.45.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Bragança?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bragança 11%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Bragança?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Bragança?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 2–1 Bragança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Bragança?
União de Leiria vs Bragança (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0