Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗32% · fair 3.11
Farense vs AD Marco 09 preview and prediction
The match
The Taça De Portugal sees Farense take on AD Marco 09 on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Farense's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Feirense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AD Marco 09's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Leça 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.9 for Farense and 0.1 for AD Marco 09. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Farense 64%, draw 21%, AD Marco 09 15%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Farense 0–0 AD Marco 09. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense64%fair 1.57 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.40
AD Marco 0915%fair 6.50 · @8.00
1.00Expected goals
0.87Farense xG
0.13AD Marco 09 xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–032%
2–014%
0–15%
1–14%
3–04%
From our goals model: Farense 0.9 – 0.1 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✓
64%
1.57
1.30
Double chance
Farense or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
32%
3.11
–
Form
Farense – last 6
WWWDLD
11 Oct
vs Feirense
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Chaves
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sacavenense
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ AVS
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AD Marco 09 – last 6
LWWDWW
10 Oct
@ Leça
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Maia Lidador
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Guimaraes B
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ São João Ver
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Régua
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vianense
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farense and AD Marco 09.
What is the prediction for Farense vs AD Marco 09?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Farense vs AD Marco 09?
On our numbers Farense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AD Marco 09 15%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs AD Marco 09?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs AD Marco 09?
Our predicted score is Farense 0–0 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Farense vs AD Marco 09?
Farense vs AD Marco 09 (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1