Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Atlético CP to win @ 3.25 – our chance 43% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +41%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético CP to win ✓43% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Atlético CP vs Vizela preview and prediction
The match
Vizela travel to face Atlético CP in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Atlético CP's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Caldas 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Vizela's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sporting CP B 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético CP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Atlético CP and 1.6 for Vizela. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético CP 43%, draw 22%, Vizela 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Atlético CP to win at 3.25 – 43% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético CP 1–1 Vizela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético CP43%fair 2.31 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Vizela35%fair 2.86 · @2.00
3.33Expected goals
1.76Atlético CP xG
1.57Vizela xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atlético CP 1.8 – 1.6 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético CP to win✓
43%
2.31
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético CP / FT Atlético CP✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Atlético CP – last 6
WWLWWW
11 Oct
vs Caldas
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Lagoa
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Oliveirense
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Olímpico do Montijo
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ SC Covilha
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vizela – last 6
LWDWWD
10 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Bombarralense
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ FC Porto B
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Torreense
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Amarante
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético CP and Vizela.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Vizela?
On our numbers Atlético CP have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vizela 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético CP vs Vizela?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético CP vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is Atlético CP 1–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético CP vs Vizela?
Atlético CP vs Vizela (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.