AVS host Moreirense in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
AVS's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Penafiel 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Moreirense's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to GIL Vicente 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AVS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Moreirense 2–2 AVS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for AVS and 1.2 for Moreirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AVS 26%, draw 22%, Moreirense 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moreirense to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AVS 0–1 Moreirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AVS26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Moreirense52%fair 1.93 · @2.05
2.00Expected goals
0.75AVS xG
1.25Moreirense xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: AVS 0.8 – 1.2 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Moreirense to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win AVS vs Moreirense?
On our numbers AVS have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreirense 52%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Moreirense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Moreirense?
Our predicted score is AVS 0–1 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Moreirense?
AVS vs Moreirense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.