Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Fazendense vs Estrela preview and prediction
The match
Fazendense host Estrela in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Fazendense's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Malveira 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Estrela's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Arouca 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 0.9 for Fazendense and 3.1 for Estrela. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Fazendense 0–3 Estrela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fazendense6%fair 16.23 · @29.00
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @6.50
Estrela77%fair 1.29 · @1.11
4.00Expected goals
0.94Fazendense xG
3.06Estrela xG
50%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: Fazendense 0.9 – 3.1 Estrela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela to win✓
77%
1.29
1.11
Double chance
Estrela or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Estrela ahead at half-time✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela / FT Estrela✗
57%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Fazendense – last 6
LLWLLW
11 Oct
@ Atlético Malveira
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ FC Alverca II
0–5
L
20 Sep
vs Ginásio Figueirense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs O Elvas
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Mortágua
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mocarriense
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estrela – last 6
LLDWDW
11 Oct
@ Arouca
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–2
L
14 Sep
@ Rio Ave
3–3
D
10 Sep
vs SC Braga
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Famalicao
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Nacional
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fazendense and Estrela.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Fazendense vs Estrela?
On our numbers Fazendense have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estrela 77%.
How many goals will there be in Fazendense vs Estrela?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fazendense vs Estrela?
Our predicted score is Fazendense 0–3 Estrela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Fazendense vs Estrela?
Fazendense vs Estrela (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1