Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitória SC to win ✓76% · @1.03
Double chanceVitória SC or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @5.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.68
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC preview and prediction
The match
The Taça De Portugal sees Recreativa de Lamelas take on Vitória SC on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Vitória SC's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Benfica 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.3 for Recreativa de Lamelas and 3.3 for Vitória SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 81% and both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Recreativa de Lamelas 1–3 Vitória SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recreativa de Lamelas10%fair 10.47 · @41.00
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @15.00
Vitória SC76%fair 1.32 · @1.03
4.57Expected goals
1.26Recreativa de Lamelas xG
3.31Vitória SC xG
54%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–47%
0–36%
0–26%
0–45%
From our goals model: Recreativa de Lamelas 1.3 – 3.3 Vitória SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória SC to win✓
76%
1.32
1.03
Double chance
Vitória SC or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
5.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Half-time result
Vitória SC ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória SC / FT Vitória SC✗
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.68
–
Form
Recreativa de Lamelas – last 1
W
19 Sep
vs Santo Antonio
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vitória SC – last 6
LDLDLW
11 Oct
@ Benfica
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Moreirense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Academico Viseu
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Casa Pia
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Nacional
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recreativa de Lamelas and Vitória SC.
What is the prediction for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?
On our numbers Recreativa de Lamelas have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Vitória SC 76%.
How many goals will there be in Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?
Our predicted score is Recreativa de Lamelas 1–3 Vitória SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1