Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRio Ave to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceRio Ave or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.78
Louletano vs Rio Ave preview and prediction
The match
Louletano host Rio Ave in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Louletano's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Vitória de Sernache 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rio Ave's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Nacional 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Louletano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.5 for Louletano and 1.5 for Rio Ave. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Louletano 10%, draw 25%, Rio Ave 64%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rio Ave to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Louletano 0–1 Rio Ave. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louletano10%fair 9.58 · @5.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Rio Ave64%fair 1.55 · @1.55
2.00Expected goals
0.45Louletano xG
1.55Rio Ave xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–216%
0–014%
1–19%
0–38%
1–27%
From our goals model: Louletano 0.5 – 1.5 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Ave to win✓
64%
1.55
1.55
Double chance
Rio Ave or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Ave / FT Rio Ave✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
21%
4.78
–
Form
Louletano – last 6
LDLWWW
10 Oct
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Serpa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs União Santarém
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Castrense
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Caldas
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 6
WLDLLW
11 Oct
vs Nacional
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Alverca
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Estrela
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Sporting CP
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Estoril
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and Rio Ave.
Our pick is Rio Ave to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Louletano vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Louletano have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rio Ave 64%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Louletano 0–1 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs Rio Ave?
Louletano vs Rio Ave (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0