Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✗66% · @1.35
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom preview and prediction
The match
Sparta Praha host Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Letná. Sparta Praha are 22nd with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Lillestrom sit 34th on 1 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sparta Praha's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Pardubice 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lillestrom's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Molde 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sparta Praha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sparta Praha and 0.8 for Lillestrom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Praha 66%, draw 17%, Lillestrom 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Praha to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sparta Praha 1–0 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Praha66%fair 1.51 · @1.35
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @5.00
Lillestrom17%fair 5.93 · @8.00
2.75Expected goals
1.94Sparta Praha xG
0.81Lillestrom xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 1.9 – 0.8 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✗
66%
1.51
1.35
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.05
–
Form
Sparta Praha – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Oct
vs Pardubice
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vysočina Jihlava
5–3
W
20 Sep
@ Sigma Olomouc
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FK Jablonec
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
DWLLWW
11 Oct
vs Molde
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bærum
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Viking
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Torreense
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brann
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lillestrom 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1–0 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
