Value bet: Celje to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
Celje host Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Z’dežele. Celje are 25th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Omonia Nicosia sit 18th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celje's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Aluminij 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Karmiotissa 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Omonia Nicosia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Celje and 1.0 for Omonia Nicosia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Celje to win at 2.60 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Celje 1–1 Omonia Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celje45%fair 2.24 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.20
Omonia Nicosia33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
2.17Expected goals
1.20Celje xG
0.97Omonia Nicosia xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Celje 1.2 – 1.0 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
45%
2.24
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Celje – last 6
WDLLLW
10 Oct
vs Aluminij
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Mura
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Bravo
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Koper
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Aluminij
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
WWWDWL
9 Oct
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Krasava Ypsonas
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Aris
4–1
W
3 Sep
vs Pafos
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Omonia Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers Celje have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Omonia Nicosia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Z’dežele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
