Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Crystal Palace to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lyon 1.8 – 1.7 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lyon and Crystal Palace on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lyon have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Crystal Palace have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.8 for Lyon, 1.7 for Crystal Palace). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Crystal Palace to win at 3.00 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lyon to win ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lyon / FT Lyon ✓ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.26 | – |
Form
Lyon – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Lens | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rennes | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Anderlecht | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Paris FC | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Auxerre | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Le Havre | 1–1 | D |
Crystal Palace – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Bristol City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Leeds | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Lech Poznan | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ipswich | 2–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Middlesbrough | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Crystal Palace.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Lyon have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crystal Palace 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Lyon vs Crystal Palace (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.