Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan preview and prediction
The match
Red Bull Salzburg host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Red Bull Arena. Red Bull Salzburg are 26th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while AC Milan sit 28th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Red Bull Salzburg's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Grazer AK 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AC Milan's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Sassuolo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Red Bull Salzburg and 1.4 for AC Milan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Red Bull Salzburg 26%, draw 21%, AC Milan 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AC Milan to win – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 AC Milan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Red Bull Salzburg26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
AC Milan53%fair 1.89 · @2.05
2.33Expected goals
0.89Red Bull Salzburg xG
1.44AC Milan xG
58%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 0.9 – 1.4 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Red Bull Salzburg – last 6
DLWWDW
10 Oct
@ Grazer AK
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs FC BW Linz
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Sturm Graz
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Ried
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ SKN ST. Polten
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AC Milan – last 6
DWLDDW
11 Oct
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Lecce
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Benfica
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Lazio
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Juventus
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Venezia
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan.
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Our pick is AC Milan to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AC Milan 53%.
How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
