Value bet: Olympiakos Piraeus to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus preview and prediction
The match
Marseille host Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Orange Vélodrome. Marseille are 31st with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th on 10 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marseille's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Estac Troyes 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Olympiakos Piraeus's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Panathinaikos 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Olympiakos Piraeus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Marseille and 2.0 for Olympiakos Piraeus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 69%.
Value angle: Olympiakos Piraeus to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marseille 1–2 Olympiakos Piraeus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marseille38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Olympiakos Piraeus40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.97Marseille xG
2.03Olympiakos Piraeus xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Marseille 2.0 – 2.0 Olympiakos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos Piraeus to win✓
40%
2.52
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos Piraeus / FT Olympiakos Piraeus✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.47
–
Form
Marseille – last 6
WLLLLL
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Rennes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Paris FC
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Monaco
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olympiakos Piraeus – last 6
WWWLWD
11 Oct
vs Panathinaikos
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Levadiakos
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs OFI
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Volos NFC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus.
What is the prediction for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
On our numbers Marseille have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olympiakos Piraeus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is Marseille 1–2 Olympiakos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Orange Vélodrome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
