Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.64 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWalsall to win ✗41% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Walsall vs Grimsby preview and prediction
The match
Grimsby travel to Bescot Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT) to face Walsall. Walsall are 3rd with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Walsall's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Gillingham 3–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grimsby's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Exeter City 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grimsby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Grimsby 2–2 Walsall.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Walsall and 1.1 for Grimsby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Walsall 41%, draw 24%, Grimsby 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Walsall to win at 2.64 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Walsall 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Walsall41%fair 2.44 · @2.64
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Grimsby35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
2.23Expected goals
1.18Walsall xG
1.06Grimsby xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Walsall 1.2 – 1.1 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Walsall vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Walsall have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grimsby 35%.
How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walsall vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Walsall 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Walsall vs Grimsby?
Walsall vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
