Bristol Rovers vs Newport County prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓61% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Bristol Rovers vs Newport County preview and prediction
The match
Newport County travel to Memorial Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT) to face Bristol Rovers. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Newport County sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to York 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Newport County's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Rochdale 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Bristol Rovers and 1.2 for Newport County. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol Rovers 61%, draw 19%, Newport County 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 2–1 Newport County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers61%fair 1.63 · @1.69
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.80
Newport County20%fair 5.01 · @4.70
3.37Expected goals
2.20Bristol Rovers xG
1.17Newport County xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 2.2 – 1.2 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
61%
1.63
1.69
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.36
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 6
LLDDLW
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Leicester
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Salisbury
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WDLWLD
15 Aug
vs Rochdale
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs AS Roma
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
2–1
W
28 Jul
vs Reading
0–4
L
25 Jul
@ Bath City
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newport County 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Bristol Rovers vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
