Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 3.65 – our chance 44% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +62%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✓44% · @3.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.00
Salford City vs Chesterfield preview and prediction
The match
Salford City host Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Peninsula Stadium. Salford City are 1st with 31 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Chesterfield sit 10th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Salford City's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Barnet 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chesterfield's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Fleetwood Town 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Salford City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Salford City and 1.4 for Chesterfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Salford City 34%, draw 22%, Chesterfield 44%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Chesterfield to win at 3.65 – 44% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Salford City 1–1 Chesterfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salford City34%fair 2.96 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Chesterfield44%fair 2.25 · @3.65
2.51Expected goals
1.14Salford City xG
1.37Chesterfield xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Salford City 1.1 – 1.4 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
44%
2.25
3.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.00
–
Form
Salford City – last 6
LDDWWW
15 Aug
@ Barnet
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Bradford
2–2
D
28 Jul
@ Carlisle
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dundee Utd
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ United of Manchester
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 6
LLDLDW
15 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Scunthorpe
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs Sheffield Utd
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Salford City vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Salford City have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 44%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Salford City 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Salford City vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
