Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Fleetwood Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham preview and prediction
The match
Gillingham travel to Highbury Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT) to face Fleetwood Town. Fleetwood Town are 16th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fleetwood Town's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Chesterfield 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gillingham's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Walsall 0–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fleetwood Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Fleetwood Town and 0.6 for Gillingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fleetwood Town 65%, draw 20%, Gillingham 15%.
Safer route: Fleetwood Town or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Fleetwood Town to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fleetwood Town or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Gillingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fleetwood Town65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
Gillingham15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
2.31Expected goals
1.68Fleetwood Town xG
0.63Gillingham xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.7 – 0.6 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleetwood Town to win✗
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Fleetwood Town or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.98
–
Form
Fleetwood Town – last 6
WWLDWW
15 Aug
@ Chesterfield
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Bolton
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Huddersfield
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Southport
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
LLWWLW
15 Aug
vs Walsall
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Luton
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Ebbsfleet United
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Charlton
0–1
L
14 Jul
@ Dover
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleetwood Town and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gillingham 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
