Exeter City vs Accrington ST prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Exeter City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 1.94 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultExeter City to win ✓62% · @1.94
Double chanceExeter City or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Exeter City vs Accrington ST preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Exeter City take on Accrington ST on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at St James Park. Exeter City are 12th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Accrington ST sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Exeter City's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Grimsby 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Accrington ST's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Colchester 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Accrington ST arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Exeter City and 0.8 for Accrington ST. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 62%, draw 22%, Accrington ST 17%.
Safer route: Exeter City or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Exeter City to win at 1.94 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Exeter City or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–0 Accrington ST. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City62%fair 1.62 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Accrington ST17%fair 5.97 · @3.80
2.57Expected goals
1.78Exeter City xG
0.79Accrington ST xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.8 – 0.8 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
62%
1.62
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Exeter City or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Exeter City ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Exeter City / FT Exeter City✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Form
Exeter City – last 6
LLDLWL
15 Aug
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Torquay
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Weston-super-Mare
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Truro City
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
DLDWWW
15 Aug
vs Colchester
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Crewe
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Bury
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chorley
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bradford
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Exeter City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 17%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Exeter City vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
