Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Port Vale vs Tranmere preview and prediction
The match
Tranmere travel to Vale Park in the League Two on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT) to face Port Vale. Port Vale are 19th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Port Vale's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Oldham 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tranmere's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Port Vale and 0.5 for Tranmere. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Vale 66%, draw 21%, Tranmere 12%.
Safer route: Port Vale or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Port Vale 1–0 Tranmere. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Vale66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Tranmere12%fair 8.14 · @4.85
2.24Expected goals
1.70Port Vale xG
0.54Tranmere xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.7 – 0.5 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Port Vale or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Port Vale ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.54
–
Form
Port Vale – last 6
LLWWWW
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Tamworth
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Rochdale
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Colchester
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Tranmere.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Port Vale vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tranmere 12%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Tranmere?
Port Vale vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
