Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rochdale to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochdale to win ✗59% · @1.94
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Rochdale vs Crawley Town preview and prediction
The match
Rochdale host Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Spotland Stadium. Rochdale are 20th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Crawley Town sit 24th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Rochdale's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Newport County 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Crawley Town's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Crewe 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Crawley Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Rochdale and 0.7 for Crawley Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rochdale 59%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 17%.
Safer route: Rochdale or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Rochdale to win at 1.94 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rochdale or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rochdale 1–0 Crawley Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale59%fair 1.71 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.50
Crawley Town17%fair 5.87 · @3.70
2.36Expected goals
1.62Rochdale xG
0.74Crawley Town xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.6 – 0.7 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✗
59%
1.71
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Rochdale or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.53
–
Form
Rochdale – last 6
LLDLDD
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Farnham Town
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Al-Rayyan SC
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Crawley Town – last 6
LLWLLW
15 Aug
vs Crewe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Eastleigh
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Crawley Town.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Our pick is Rochdale or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crawley Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–0 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Rochdale vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
