Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRotherham to win ✗39% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Rotherham vs York preview and prediction
The match
York travel to Aesseal New York Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT) to face Rotherham. Rotherham are 22nd with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while York sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rotherham's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Cheltenham 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
York's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Bristol Rovers 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Rotherham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Rotherham and 1.6 for York. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rotherham 39%, draw 24%, York 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rotherham 1–1 York. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotherham39%fair 2.58 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
York37%fair 2.68 · @2.75
3.32Expected goals
1.68Rotherham xG
1.64York xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.7 – 1.6 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
39%
2.58
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Rotherham – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs West Brom
1–4
L
4 Aug
vs Derby
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Darlington 1883
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Sheffield Utd
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
York – last 6
WLLDLL
15 Aug
vs Bristol Rovers
3–2
W
3 Aug
vs Crawley Town
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Peterborough
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Al-Ettifaq
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Sunderland
1–5
L
14 Jul
@ Pickering Town
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and York.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rotherham vs York?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and York 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs York?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs York?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs York?
Rotherham vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
