Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Wolves to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWolves to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceWolves or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Wolves vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
Wolves host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Molineux Stadium. Wolves are 4th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Wolves's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Watford 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cardiff's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Birmingham 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Wolves and 0.9 for Cardiff. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wolves 67%, draw 19%, Cardiff 14%.
Safer route: Wolves or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Wolves to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wolves or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wolves 2–0 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wolves67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.00
Cardiff14%fair 7.35 · @4.40
3.00Expected goals
2.15Wolves xG
0.85Cardiff xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Wolves 2.1 – 0.9 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wolves to win✓
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Wolves or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Wolves ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wolves / FT Wolves✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Wolves – last 6
WDWLLW
24 Oct
vs Watford
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
16 Oct
@ Burnley
2–1
W
13 Oct
vs Bolton
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs West Brom
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
WDWLWL
24 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wolves and Cardiff.
Our pick is Wolves or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Wolves have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cardiff 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Cardiff?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Wolves 2–0 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Wolves vs Cardiff?
Wolves vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
