Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceStoke City or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.37
Stoke City vs Preston preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Stoke City take on Preston on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Preston sit 24th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stoke City's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Bristol City 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Preston's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with West Brom 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Stoke City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Preston 3–1 Stoke City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Stoke City and 0.8 for Preston. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 66%, draw 20%, Preston 14%.
Safer route: Stoke City or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Stoke City to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stoke City or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stoke City 2–0 Preston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Preston14%fair 7.32 · @4.40
2.88Expected goals
2.06Stoke City xG
0.82Preston xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Stoke City 2.1 – 0.8 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Stoke City or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Preston 14%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Preston?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 2–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Preston?
Stoke City vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
