Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Burnley vs Portsmouth preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Burnley take on Portsmouth on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Turf Moor. Burnley are 22nd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Portsmouth sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Burnley's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Lincoln 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Portsmouth's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Millwall 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Portsmouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Burnley and 1.4 for Portsmouth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Portsmouth35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
3.04Expected goals
1.60Burnley xG
1.44Portsmouth xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Burnley 1.6 – 1.4 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Burnley – last 6
LLDWDL
24 Oct
@ Lincoln
1–4
L
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 6
WDWWLD
24 Oct
vs Millwall
2–1
W
20 Oct
@ Wolves
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Norwich
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Sheffield Utd
3–2
W
11 Oct
@ Southampton
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Blackburn
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Burnley have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portsmouth 35%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Burnley vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
