Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Southampton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthampton to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Southampton vs QPR preview and prediction
The match
QPR travel to St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 31 October (16:00 WAT) to face Southampton. Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while QPR sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Southampton's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat West Ham 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
QPR's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Swansea 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Southampton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Southampton 5–0 QPR.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Southampton and 1.0 for QPR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Southampton 57%, draw 23%, QPR 20%.
Safer route: Southampton or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Southampton to win at 1.85 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Southampton or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Southampton 1–0 QPR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southampton57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
QPR20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
2.83Expected goals
1.84Southampton xG
0.99QPR xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.8 – 1.0 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Southampton or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
On our numbers Southampton have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and QPR 20%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs QPR?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–0 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
