Championship · England · Riverside StadiumMiddlesbrough vs Charlton prediction & analysis
Middlesbrough to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.3 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Middlesbrough are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Charlton.
Middlesbrough have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Charlton have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Middlesbrough come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.3 for Middlesbrough, 0.7 for Charlton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Middlesbrough have won 0, Charlton have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Middlesbrough to win ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Middlesbrough or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Middlesbrough ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.94 | – |
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Bolton | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Cardiff | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Stoke City | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Wolves | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Birmingham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Millwall | 2–2 | D |
Charlton – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Norwich | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Watford | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Burnley | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Bristol City | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Cardiff | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Portsmouth | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 11 Mar 2026 | Middlesbrough v Charlton | 0–1 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Charlton 9%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Middlesbrough vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.