Value bet: Birmingham to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham to win ✓51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Lincoln vs Birmingham preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham travel to LNER stadium in the Championship on Saturday 31 October (13:30 WAT) to face Lincoln. Lincoln are 21st with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Birmingham sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lincoln's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Burnley 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Birmingham's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Cardiff 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Lincoln and 1.6 for Birmingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln 27%, draw 22%, Birmingham 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Birmingham to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Lincoln 1–1 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Birmingham51%fair 1.95 · @2.15
2.71Expected goals
1.09Lincoln xG
1.62Birmingham xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.1 – 1.6 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham to win✓
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham / FT Birmingham✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.26
–
Form
Lincoln – last 6
WDLLLW
24 Oct
vs Burnley
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Millwall
2–2
D
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
LWWWDW
24 Oct
@ Cardiff
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs QPR
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Preston
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ West Brom
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Derby
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Birmingham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Birmingham 51%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Birmingham?
Lincoln vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
