Championship · England · Carrow RoadNorwich vs Watford prediction & analysis
Norwich to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Norwich 2.0 – 1.0 Watford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Norwich are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Watford.
Norwich have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. Watford have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Norwich, 1.0 for Watford). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Norwich to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Norwich to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Norwich or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Norwich ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Norwich / FT Norwich ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.57 | – |
Form
Norwich – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Charlton | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Portsmouth | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Southampton | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Swansea | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bolton | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | @ Manchester City | 0–5 | L |
Watford – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Charlton | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Cardiff | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Burnley | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Bristol City | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Stoke City | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norwich and Watford.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Norwich vs Watford?
Our pick is Norwich to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
On our numbers Norwich have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Watford 17%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Watford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Norwich vs Watford?
Norwich vs Watford (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.