Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Swansea to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwansea to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceSwansea or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Swansea vs Blackburn preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Swansea take on Blackburn on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea are 6th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Blackburn sit 13th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Swansea's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to QPR 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Blackburn's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Wrexham 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Swansea and 0.7 for Blackburn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Swansea to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Swansea or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Swansea 1–0 Blackburn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swansea66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Blackburn13%fair 7.70 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.94Swansea xG
0.73Blackburn xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.9 – 0.7 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Swansea or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Swansea ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Swansea – last 6
LLWWWW
24 Oct
@ QPR
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs West Ham
0–1
L
13 Oct
@ Millwall
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Norwich
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lincoln
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 6
WLWWDW
24 Oct
vs Wrexham
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ West Brom
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Millwall
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Blackburn.
Our pick is Swansea or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Swansea have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Blackburn 13%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–0 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Blackburn?
Swansea vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
