Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultScotland to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceScotland or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.32
Scotland vs Slovenia preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Nations League sees Scotland take on Slovenia on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Hampden Park Stadium. Scotland are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Slovenia sit 2nd on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Scotland's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat FYR Macedonia 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Slovenia's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Switzerland 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished Slovenia 0–0 Scotland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Scotland and 0.4 for Slovenia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Scotland to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Scotland 1–0 Slovenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scotland61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Slovenia18%fair 5.68 · @4.50
1.67Expected goals
1.23Scotland xG
0.44Slovenia xG
49%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–019%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Scotland 1.2 – 0.4 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Scotland to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Scotland vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Scotland have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Slovenia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland vs Slovenia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Slovenia?
Our predicted score is Scotland 1–0 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Scotland vs Slovenia?
Scotland vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Hampden Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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