Moldova vs Slovakia prediction & analysis
Slovakia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Moldova 0.6 – 1.8 Slovakia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slovakia travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 11% for Moldova.
Moldova have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Slovakia have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Slovakia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for Moldova, 1.8 for Slovakia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Moldova have won 0, Slovakia have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Slovakia to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slovakia to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Slovakia or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Slovakia ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slovakia / FT Slovakia ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.81 | – |
Form
Moldova – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Kazakhstan | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Faroe Islands | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Slovakia | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Jun | @ Armenia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jun | vs Bulgaria | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | @ Cyprus | 2–3 | L |
Slovakia – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Faroe Islands | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | vs Kazakhstan | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Moldova | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs Montenegro | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Jun | vs Malta | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Romania | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Slovakia v Moldova | 2–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | -2 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
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Spain2
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Czechia0
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Finland0
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Luxembourg0
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FYR Macedonia0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Moldova vs Slovakia?
Our pick is Slovakia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Moldova vs Slovakia?
On our numbers Moldova have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slovakia 66%.
How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Slovakia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Moldova vs Slovakia?
Moldova vs Slovakia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.