Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Value bet: Faroe Islands to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kazakhstan 1.1 – 1.2 Faroe Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Kazakhstan have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Faroe Islands have 6 points from their last 5 (1W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Kazakhstan, 1.2 for Faroe Islands). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Kazakhstan have won 0, Faroe Islands have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Faroe Islands to win at 3.20 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Faroe Islands to win ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | 3.20 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Faroe Islands / FT Faroe Islands ✗ | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.53 | – |
Form
Kazakhstan – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Moldova | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Slovakia | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Faroe Islands | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Hungary | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Armenia | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Comoros | 1–0 | W |
Faroe Islands – last 5
| 2 Oct | vs Slovakia | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | @ Moldova | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Kazakhstan | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Latvia | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ Estonia | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan | 1–1 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | -2 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Croatia1
Spain2
England3
Czechia0
Albania2
San Marino1
Belarus1
Finland0
Estonia0
Iceland0
Luxembourg0
Bulgaria2
Switzerland3
FYR Macedonia0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
On our numbers Kazakhstan have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Faroe Islands 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.