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Today's tips
UEFA Nations League · Europe · Arena Kombëtare

Albania

LWWLL
2–1
FT

San Marino

LLLLL

Albania vs San Marino prediction & analysis

51%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlbania to win ✓79% · @1.03
Double chanceAlbania or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.73

Albania vs San Marino preview and prediction

The match

San Marino travel to Arena Kombëtare in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT) to face Albania. Albania are 1st with 9 points from 4 games, while San Marino sit 4th on 0 points.

Form guide

Albania's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Finland 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

San Marino's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Belarus 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Albania arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished San Marino 0–3 Albania.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.8 for Albania and 0.8 for San Marino. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Albania 2–0 San Marino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Albania79%fair 1.27 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.65 · @19.00
San Marino8%fair 12.26 · @51.00
3.67Expected goals
2.84Albania xG
0.83San Marino xG
49%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
4–07%

From our goals model: Albania 2.8 – 0.8 San Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbania to win ✓79%1.271.03
Double chanceAlbania or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.30
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultAlbania ahead at half-time ✓59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albania / FT Albania ✓55%1.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.73–

Form

Albania – last 6

LWWLLL
3 Oct@ Finland1–2L
29 Sep@ San Marino3–0W
26 Sepvs Belarus2–0W
6 Junvs Luxembourg0–1L
3 Junvs Israel0–1L
31 Mar@ Ukraine0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Marino – last 6

LLLLLD
3 Oct@ Belarus0–4L
29 Sepvs Albania0–3L
26 Sepvs Finland0–7L
9 Jun@ Azerbaijan1–2L
5 Junvs Bangladesh1–2L
31 Marvs Andorra0–0D
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026San Marino v Albania0–3
Albania vs San Marino head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albania4301+59
2Belarus4211+37
3Finland4211+77
4San Marino4004-150

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kazakhstan2 Faroe Islands2 135%2.30X26%2.80239%3.20 GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✓
FT Croatia1 Spain2 115%9.50X18%5.80267%1.22 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.75 ✓
FT England3 Czechia0 171%1.11X15%8.00214%19.00 GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.10 ✗
FT Belarus1 Finland0 118%3.80X25%3.20257%1.91 X2Finland or draw 82%@1.25 ✗
FT Moldova0 Slovakia4 111%7.50X23%4.40266%1.36 2Slovakia to win 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Estonia0 Iceland0 120%5.00X19%3.75261%1.57 2Iceland to win 61%@1.57 ✗
FT Luxembourg0 Bulgaria2 147%2.05X22%3.10230%3.50 GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Switzerland3 FYR Macedonia0 172%1.10X19%9.0029%23.00 NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albania vs San Marino?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Albania vs San Marino?

On our numbers Albania have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and San Marino 8%.

How many goals will there be in Albania vs San Marino?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albania vs San Marino?

Our predicted score is Albania 2–0 San Marino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Albania vs San Marino?

Albania vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Kombëtare.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.