The UEFA Nations League sees Latvia take on Cyprus on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Skonto. Latvia are 4th with 1 points from 4 games, while Cyprus sit 2nd on 7 points.
Form guide
Latvia's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Armenia 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cyprus's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Montenegro 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Latvia and 1.2 for Cyprus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Latvia 38%, draw 25%, Cyprus 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Latvia 1–1 Cyprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latvia38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Cyprus37%fair 2.74 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.27Latvia xG
1.23Cyprus xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Latvia 1.3 – 1.2 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia to win✗
38%
2.62
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia / FT Latvia✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.61
–
Form
Latvia – last 4
LLWW
25 Sep
@ Armenia
0–2
L
9 Jun
vs Faroe Islands
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Gibraltar
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Gibraltar
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cyprus – last 5
LWDWL
25 Sep
@ Montenegro
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Liechtenstein
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Slovenia
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Moldova
3–2
W
26 Mar
vs Belarus
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia and Cyprus.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Latvia vs Cyprus?
On our numbers Latvia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cyprus 37%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Cyprus?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia vs Cyprus?
Our predicted score is Latvia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Latvia vs Cyprus?
Latvia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Georgia0
Ukraine0
Belgium0
France1
Türkiye1
Italy4
Northern Ireland0
Hungary0
Sweden3
Poland1
Romania2
Bosnia & Herzegovina4