Value bet: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBosnia & Herzegovina to win ✓38% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina preview and prediction
The match
Bosnia & Herzegovina travel to Arena Națională in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 28 September (19:45 WAT) to face Romania. Romania are 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Bosnia & Herzegovina sit 2nd on 8 points.
Form guide
Romania's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Sweden 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bosnia & Herzegovina's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Poland 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Romania and 0.8 for Bosnia & Herzegovina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Romania 38%, draw 24%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 38%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Romania 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Romania38%fair 2.65 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Bosnia & Herzegovina38%fair 2.61 · @3.20
1.50Expected goals
0.75Romania xG
0.75Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–117%
1–017%
1–113%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Romania 0.7 – 0.8 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bosnia & Herzegovina to win✓
38%
2.61
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Romania – last 5
LWDLL
25 Sep
@ Sweden
1–2
L
6 Jun
vs Wales
2–1
W
2 Jun
@ Georgia
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Slovakia
0–2
L
26 Mar
@ Türkiye
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6
DLWLDD
25 Sep
@ Poland
0–0
D
2 Jul
@ USA
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Qatar
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–4
L
12 Jun
@ Canada
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Panama
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina.
What is the prediction for Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
On our numbers Romania have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 38%.
How many goals will there be in Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Our predicted score is Romania 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Națională.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Georgia0
Ukraine0
Armenia2
Montenegro3
Latvia0
Cyprus0
Belgium0
France1
Türkiye1
Italy4
Northern Ireland0
Hungary0