Armenia vs Montenegro prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.3 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Armenia and Montenegro on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Armenia have taken 5 points from their last 4 matches (1W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Montenegro have 10 points from their last 5 (3W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Montenegro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Armenia, 1.3 for Montenegro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.90.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Montenegro to win ✓ | 38% | 2.60 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro ✓ | 21% | 4.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.62 | – |
Form
Armenia – last 4
| 25 Sep | vs Latvia | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Jun | vs Moldova | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Kazakhstan | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | vs Belarus | 1–2 | L |
Montenegro – last 5
| 25 Sep | vs Cyprus | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | @ Slovakia | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Jun | @ Bulgaria | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Slovenia | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Andorra | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Armenia and Montenegro.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Bosnia & Herzegovina4Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Armenia vs Montenegro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Armenia vs Montenegro?
On our numbers Armenia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montenegro 38%.
How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Montenegro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Armenia vs Montenegro?
Armenia vs Montenegro (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.